tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10131050.post4835760961562718497..comments2024-03-01T08:19:54.547+00:00Comments on BobFromBrockley: London votes (well, Bob just about manages to)bobhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15439386754907203808noreply@blogger.comBlogger9125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10131050.post-21626951391153684052012-05-03T08:57:32.410+01:002012-05-03T08:57:32.410+01:00Just a note of pedantry, from an ex driver, Alex G...Just a note of pedantry, from an ex driver, Alex Gordon is from the RMT, which does include some drivers, but the train drivers union is ASLEF, which only contains drivers. Alex is a nice guy, who once described himself as an anarchist, good luck to him.darren redstarhttp://redstarcommando.blogspot.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10131050.post-55075275289200096912012-05-02T13:52:23.182+01:002012-05-02T13:52:23.182+01:00Thanks for interesting psephology - good to return...Thanks for interesting psephology - good to return to this on Friday. <br /><br />On Lewisham, yes, was aware of that. It's covered <a href="http://transpont.blogspot.co.uk/2012/04/fascist-attack-in-lewisham-today.html" rel="nofollow">at Transpontine</a>. Trend indeed seems to be violent attacks against left - and left needs to think about what that means for anti-fascism. Perpetrators appear to be EDL supporters, Millwall fans, Kent/outer London residents - judging from crowing on Facebook & Twitter, tho "official" EDL denies all connection.bobhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15439386754907203808noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10131050.post-77731625123645940282012-05-01T17:54:39.937+01:002012-05-01T17:54:39.937+01:00Interesting Kellie, obvious, but I should have loo...Interesting Kellie, obvious, but I should have looked at at previous results, a case of writing without due thought!<br /><br />Just looked at it (latterly) and I think 2004 results might be the one to compare. <br /><br />A very quick scan revealed that GLA - 1st perf were about 80-81% of Mayoral for Tory & LP candidates, which I never knew.<br /><br />My theory is that *this* time there will be a dip in that ratio: GLA 1 perfs for major parties vs Mayoral votes, and *if* that proves to be the case then it would suggest a dissatisfaction with the candidate, as compared with previous years.modernity's ghostnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10131050.post-13015070844116295972012-05-01T11:00:14.788+01:002012-05-01T11:00:14.788+01:00The number of wasted second preferences last time ...The number of wasted second preferences last time looks incredibe, if I'm reading it correctly - seems a lot of people, hundreds of thousands, either don't understand the system, or don't want to choose between the two leading candidates.kelliehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03503738414917449549noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10131050.post-18503945013924467902012-05-01T10:56:30.030+01:002012-05-01T10:56:30.030+01:00Labour and Conservative GLA votes seem to have bee...Labour and Conservative <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_Assembly_election,_2008" rel="nofollow">GLA votes</a> seem to have been much <i>lower</i> than <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_Assembly_election,_2008" rel="nofollow">Livingstone and Johnson</a> first preferences last time. Perhaps people see the GLA as ineffectual and therefore suitable for protest voting?<br /><br />I'm afraid my second preference will cancel out one of those from Bob and Jams. I'm regarding my 'anybody but' vote as a vote for a better Labour candidate next time. Of course I'll be voting Labour for the assembly.kelliehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03503738414917449549noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10131050.post-30759976549377737492012-04-30T21:29:28.828+01:002012-04-30T21:29:28.828+01:00Bob,
Not much into electoral analysis before the ...Bob,<br /><br />Not much into electoral analysis before the events, but I think we will be able to tell the nature of this dilemma statistically.<br /><br />One would reasonably expect Labour voters to vote for their GLA candidate as first preference and for Ken?<br /><br />So I think the difference between those two votes (my guess is that Ken will get a lower vote) will indicate how many people struggled with the question of who to vote for..modernity's ghostnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10131050.post-87785724462129915372012-04-30T20:24:36.168+01:002012-04-30T20:24:36.168+01:00Have you heard that Casuals United attacked a SWP ...Have you heard that Casuals United attacked a SWP stall in Lewisham? 15 against 2, one of whom was a pensioner.<br /><br />Looks like this might be the start of a wider trend. They're also threatening to disrupt an anti-fascist gig at the Brighton Social Centre in revenge for losing on the streets at the MFE march. I suspect that might not be as easy a target as they're assuming...Waterloo Sunsethttp://everybodyhatesatourist.wordpress.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10131050.post-89038999137497393512012-04-30T18:19:58.109+01:002012-04-30T18:19:58.109+01:00I know how you feel about voting Bob.
I dislike K...I know how you feel about voting Bob.<br /><br />I dislike Ken immensely but still I will reluctantly give Ken my second preference.jams o donnellhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17315325008175184363noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10131050.post-48666499736844720552012-04-30T17:59:55.483+01:002012-04-30T17:59:55.483+01:00I believe this is the time where we provincials fe...I believe this is the time where we provincials feel rather smug...bensixhttp://bensix.wordpress.comnoreply@blogger.com